Goldman Sachs Research expects continued growth from the UK economy in 2025, although its expansion may be slower than some economists anticipate. Our economists forecast the UK’s GDP to increase 1.2% in 2025, which is slower than the Bank of England’s projection of 1.5% and just below the consensus estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg of 1.3%. The team forecasts 0.4% growth in the first three months…

    China’s economy is projected by Goldman Sachs Research to grow at a slower pace in 2025, as the government’s stimulus efforts partially offset the impact of potential tariffs from the US. Real GDP growth is predicted to decelerate to 4.5% next year from 4.9% in 2024. Goldman Sachs Research’s forecast assumes a 20 percentage-point increase in the effective tariff rate imposed by the incoming Trump administration on…

    Germany’s economy, which has lagged behind its peers in recent years, faces a series of headwinds in 2025, including trade uncertainty with the US, still-high energy prices, and growing competition from China. Elections in February will provide an opportunity to tackle the country’s challenges. Europe’s largest economy is forecast to expand 0.3% in 2025, which is slower than the estimate for the euro area of 0.8% and…