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How women in the workforce are reshaping the global economy

April 17, 2025

    The growth in women’s contributions to the labor force in recent decades is difficult to overstate, and it’s transforming economies around the world. But much remains to be done. Goldman Sachs Research first published a report on women\’s participation in the labor force, and the economic possibilities opened up by greater participation, in 1999. The report was led by our then-head of Japan Portfolio Strategy, Kathy Matsui,…

The probability of a US recession in the next year has fallen to 15%

April 17, 2025

    The likelihood of a US recession in the coming year has declined amid signs of a still-solid job market, according to Goldman Sachs Research. Our economists say there’s a 15% chance of recession in the next 12 months, down from their earlier projection of 20%. That’s in line with the unconditional long-term average probability of 15%, writes Jan Hatzius, head of Goldman Sachs Research and the firm’s chief…

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